How much could this cost us?

Where does this hit us, and how hard? RAID's agents bring you an answer in seconds. Built by the experts called in after the market's biggest failures.

 

Point anywhere to read that month

2008201120202025
Fig. 1Every market shock since 2001, across 96 market factors. Each line's height is how far that factor's moves ran past normal, measured the way RAID sizes a shock.

01Who it's for

In every one of these failures, the signal existed

RAID shows banks, funds, wealth managers, and insurers where a shock will land, and how hard, while there is still time to act.

$225BLosses, marks and collateral calls
27 failures · 2015 to 2026
2020Allianz Structured AlphaTail hedges that existed on paper and nowhere else$7Binvestor losses
2021ArchegosSix prime brokers, each holding one slice of one client$10.6Brealized bank losses
2022LME nickelOne position, and $12B of trades cancelled to contain it$8Bpaper loss
2022UK gilts and LDIPension hedges selling the gilts they were defending£70Bcollateral calls
2023Silicon Valley BankUnhedged rate risk, and a $42B run in a single day$20Bcost to the deposit insurance fund
2026Situational Awareness LP$7 in positions for every $1 investors put in$32Bmark-to-market loss

03Proof

Tested before the fact

18 MAY · FILING MADE PUBLIC30 JULY · FUND LIQUIDATED
10 weeks

How much advance notice RAID would have given you ahead of the collapse of Situational Awareness LP, using only public information

47 of 47

The most extreme moves in the Fed's stress tests that RAID rebuilt the right way, given only four of the Fed's own numbers

RAID'S PRICE−22.3%WHAT IT LOST−22.6%
0.3 points

How close RAID came to a 60/40 portfolio's actual loss in the COVID crash, knowing only what it knew about the portfolio the day before

More evidence

04Our vision

Everyone with something to lose has the right to know their risk

Serious risk analysis has been reserved for the largest institutions. We are building RAID so every book a market shock can reach is watched, from a global bank to a family office.

Priced by the risk you carry

You pay for the risk RAID watches, so a credit union pays for a credit union's book and a global bank for a global bank's.

About the company

05Team

Both sides of this purchase

Fifty years between us running capital markets risk inside banks, and advising them from the other side of the table.

Dani D'Amico

Dani D'Amico

Co-founder and CEO

Former partner at McKinsey & Company and Oliver Wyman and head of a capital markets risk practice. She has more than 25 years of experience advising financial institutions through the market's worst crises. Away from the markets, she is an avid skier.

Sasha Kolodkin

Sasha Kolodkin

Co-founder and COO

Second-time founder: previously founder and CEO of Affirmative. Former McKinsey & Company, and growth and operations at Citizen. She holds two graduate degrees from the University of Michigan: an MBA and a degree in human-computer interaction.

Advisors

  • Attilio Meucci

    Attilio Meucci

    Technical advisor

    Founder of ARPM, Advanced Risk and Portfolio Management. Former head of research at Bloomberg and chief risk officer at KKR.

  • John DellAquila

    John DellAquila

    Risk advisor

    Former head of counterparty credit risk at Société Générale, and of hedge fund risk at Citi and Bank of America.

  • Nick Silitch

    Nick Silitch

    Advisor and investor

    Former chief risk officer of Prudential Financial, after 28 years at BNY Mellon.

  • Myles Blodnick

    Myles Blodnick

    Advisory CTO

    Head of engineering at Carbon Arc. Formerly AI engineering at Waymo and Google.

  • Yuvraj Shiv Kumar

    Yuvraj Shiv Kumar

    Advisory CPO

    Head of product at Carbon Arc. Formerly McKinsey & Company, and counterparty credit risk at Bank of America.

  • Drew Stein

    Drew Stein

    Strategic advisor

    Founder and former CEO of Audigent, acquired by Experian.

  • Rob Odell

    Rob Odell

    Outside counsel

    Startup lawyer and partner at Odell Girton Siegel LLC.